League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Stockport (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Fleetwood Town
The loss of top scorer Kristian Dennis could leave Carlisle without their shooting boots for the first few games of the season, while Fleetwood will not want a repeat of last season and endure an opening-day defeat. Therefore, we think the sides will approach this game with caution, and they will cancel each other out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
41.5% ( -1.38) | 27.53% ( 0.2) | 30.97% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
