Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.