The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Finn Harps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 Shelbourne
Saturday, July 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Saturday, July 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 22 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 21 | -9 | 25 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | -20 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 22 | -34 | 9 |
We said: Shelbourne 1-1 Finn Harps
Finn Harps have struggled for form and confidence throughout the season, but they will see Friday as a good chance to pick up vital points against another side lacking momentum. While we do not see the ninth-placed side leaving with a victory, they should have enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Finn Harps |
49.98% ( -0.7) | 26.84% ( 0.56) | 23.18% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
