Larne
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 0
St Joseph's


Valarino (40'), Ferrer (45+3'), Villar (90+3'), Pecci (90+4')
FT

Bonis (51'), Balmer (59'), Bolger (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Larne and St Joseph's.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Joseph's 1-1 Levadia
Thursday, July 15 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawSt Joseph's
48.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)27.58% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)43.69% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)66.08% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)18.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)49.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
St Joseph's Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)29.2% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (-0.1 -0.1)65.15% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Larne 48.59%
    St Joseph's 27.58%
    Draw 23.82%
LarneDrawSt Joseph's
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 48.59%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Larne vs St Joseph's

Larne
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
St Joseph's
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0


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