

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 31.2% | 29.34% | 39.45% | 
| Both teams to score 43.33% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 36.58% | 63.41% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.23% | 82.76% | 
| Osasuna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.11% | 36.89% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.32% | 73.67% | 
| Cadiz Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.66% | 31.34% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.29% | 67.7% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-3 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.99% Total : 39.45% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 9 | 45 | 76 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 60 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 54 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 | 
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 35 | 
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 | 
| 16 | Getafe | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Almeria | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 28 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 13 | 
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