La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada3 - 2Mallorca
We said: Granada 1-1 Mallorca
As mentioned, both matches during the 2021-22 campaign were high-scoring affairs, but we are expecting this to be a tighter contest. Cases can be made for both teams to win it, but we have a feeling that the two sides will ultimately share the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Mallorca |
40.24% ( 0.25) | 29.64% ( -0.08) | 30.12% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.23% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
