Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
