World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 11.35am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Japan
vs.
Australia

Burgess (76' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taniguchi (58' og.)
Bos (61'), Yazbek (80'), Goodwin (89'), Burgess (94')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 3-1 China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Australia has a probability of 23.73% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result
Japan	Draw	Australia
53.66% ( -9.43)	22.61% ( 3.09)	23.73% ( 6.34)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Japan	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.75) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.73) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -1.17) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -1.51) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -1.18) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -1.29) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.51) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.72) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.74) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 1.61) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 1.1) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( 1.34) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 1.62) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1.12) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.67) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.5) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.73%