MX23RW : Friday, June 16 23:54:19| >> :60:483:483:
Sweden national football team
friendly | Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena
New Zealand national football team
Sweden
4 - 1
New Zealand
Karlsson (39', 45'), Quaison (44'), Elanga (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Sweden and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 5-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 2-1 China
Sunday, March 26 at 4am in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 3-0 New Zealand

Sweden will be confident of recording a win to kick off their June international against a New Zealand side who are going through a transitional period under caretaker management. Gyokeres and Isak should be able to get onto the scoresheet at the Friends Arena and give Anderson's men momentum going into their Euro qualifier with Austria next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for New Zealand has a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a New Zealand win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result
SwedenDrawNew Zealand
49.16% (-0.723 -0.72) 26.22% (0.174 0.17) 24.62% (0.551 0.55)
Both teams to score 47.9% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-0.21 -0.21)55.69% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.171 -0.17)76.83% (0.173 0.17)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.408 -0.41)22.7% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-0.611 -0.61)56.36% (0.613 0.61)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (0.38500000000001 0.39)38.04% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.371 0.37)74.81% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 49.16%
    New Zealand 24.62%
    Draw 26.21%
SwedenDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 24.62%

How you voted: Sweden vs New Zealand

Sweden
78.8%
Draw
9.1%
New Zealand
12.1%
33
rhs 2.0
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