MX23RW : Friday, June 16 23:53:09| >> :60:413:413:
Colombia national football team
friendly | Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Iraq national football team
Colombia
1 - 0
Iraq
Cassierra (76')
Carrascal (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Colombia and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Colombia
Tuesday, March 28 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42
Last Game: Russia 2-0 Iraq
Sunday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Colombia 2-0 Iraq

Iraq are a dangerous counter-attacking side who have shown they can create chances in transition, but we believe the experienced Colombian backline will be in the right place at the right time to thwart them at every turn. Colombia have some quality in the attack themselves, and given how familiar they are with one another, we expect the South Americans to be a little bit sharper in possession and make their chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colombia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.74%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (5.86%).

Result
ColombiaDrawIraq
64.9% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 22.91% (-0.122 -0.12) 12.2% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 36.3% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)79.94% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)18% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.20800000000001 0.21)48.86% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.27% (-0.404 -0.4)55.73% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.69% (-0.238 -0.24)88.31% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 64.89%
    Iraq 12.2%
    Draw 22.89%
ColombiaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 17.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-0 @ 14.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.43% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 12.2%

How you voted: Colombia vs Iraq

Colombia
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Iraq
10.5%
19
rhs 2.0
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