Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 2
Mozambique

Beto (42')
Rofino Gordo (14'), Augusto Dabo (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Langa (9'), Ratifo (52')
Nanani (37'), Ernan (41'), Catamo (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Mozambique

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mozambique
31.16% ( 0.61)	29.45% ( 0.63)	39.38% ( -1.24)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.43%	0-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.38%