CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 4, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Guatemala national football team

Guadeloupe
2 - 3
Guatemala

Gravillon (27'), Plumain (63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rubin (39', 70'), Mejia (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guadeloupe and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Cuba 1-4 Guadeloupe
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Canada
Sunday, July 2 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawGuatemala
38.5% (-0.425 -0.43)28.14% (0.053000000000001 0.05)33.36% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.137 -0.14)58.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.107 -0.11)79.44% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (-0.318 -0.32)29.69% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.39 -0.39)65.75% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.185 0.19)32.96% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.205 0.2)69.54% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 38.49%
    Guatemala 33.36%
    Draw 28.13%
GuadeloupeDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.49%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.36%

How you voted: Guadeloupe vs Guatemala

Guadeloupe
27.9%
Draw
46.5%
Guatemala
25.6%
43
rhs 2.0


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