Gremio
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 0
Sportivo

Freitas dos Santos (75')
Nathan (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jesus Vera Britez (38'), Benitez (85')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and Sportivo Luqueno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, May 25 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Sportivo Luqueno

All competitions
Last Game: Sportivo 1-1 Atletico Grau
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawSportivo Luqueno
68.49% (-1.874 -1.87)18.38% (0.912 0.91)13.13% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22% (-1.889 -1.89)39.78% (1.893 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.86% (-1.991 -1.99)62.14% (1.995 2)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (-0.965 -0.97)10.59% (0.971 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.63% (-2.221 -2.22)34.38% (2.226 2.23)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.13% (0.286 0.29)41.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68% (0.246 0.25)78.32% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 68.48%
    Sportivo Luqueno 13.13%
    Draw 18.38%
GremioDrawSportivo Luqueno
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.36% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.11% (-0.269 -0.27)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 68.48%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.466 0.47)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.379 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.38%
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.358 0.36)
1-2 @ 3.77% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.13%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Sportivo
1-2
Gremio
Santander (29')
Rios (28'), de Jesus Vera Britez (50'), Torres (76')
Arezo (17' pen.), Braithwaite (71')
Esteves (24'), Pedro (84')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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