Alaves

2 - 1

Tenerife

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.62%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 27.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.97%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.