Fortaleza
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Retro

Lopes (57')
Fernandez (41'), Britez (90+5'), Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Mike (65')
Mike (42'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (61'), Ambrosio Mendonca (78')
Retro win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Fortaleza and Retro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 3-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Retro

All competitions
Last Game: Retro 1-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, April 29 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Retro had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.31%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Retro win it was 0-1 (4.45%).

Result
FortalezaDrawRetro
70.18% (0.43300000000001 0.43)19.35% (-0.142 -0.14)10.47% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 40.4% (-0.537 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.165 -0.16)50.69% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.147 -0.15)72.59% (0.151 0.15)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)13.28% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.156 0.16)40.09% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Retro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.59% (-0.662 -0.66)53.41% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.09% (-0.418 -0.42)86.91% (0.422 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 70.17%
    Retro 10.47%
    Draw 19.35%
FortalezaDrawRetro
2-0 @ 14.45% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.73% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.91% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.84% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.35%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.47%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2025 11pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Retro
1-1
Fortaleza
Franco (33')
Salomao Miguel (22'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (83')
Martin Lucero (88')
Pacheco (38'), Luiz (43'), Pikachu (83'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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