MX23RW : Friday, June 16 23:57:14| >> :120:11827:11827:
North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
Ukraine national football team
N. Macedonia
2 - 3
Ukraine
Bardhi (31' pen.), Elmas (39')
Ristovski (8'), Musliu (54')
Musliu (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zabarnyi (62'), Konoplya (67'), Tsygankov (83')
Dovbyk (45+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: North Macedonia 1-2 Ukraine

While Germany dominated the possession and shooting statistical columns against Ukraine, Rebrov's side punished their hosts' lackadaisical defending and can be relied upon to do the same against a waning North Macedonia outfit. The manner of the hosts' wins over the Faroe Islands and Malta in March were far from convincing, and we can only picture Ukraine ending the Lynxes' winning sequence to kick-start their bid for a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a North Macedonia win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 29.88% and a draw has a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.17%).

Result
North MacedoniaDrawUkraine
41.72% (-2.026 -2.03) 28.4% (0.478 0.48) 29.88% (1.545 1.55)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.35% (-1.064 -1.06)60.65% (1.062 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.27% (-0.809 -0.81)80.73% (0.80799999999999 0.81)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-1.601 -1.6)28.66% (1.599 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-2.043 -2.04)64.48% (2.043 2.04)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (0.637 0.64)36.39% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (0.64 0.64)73.17% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 41.72%
    Ukraine 29.87%
    Draw 28.38%
North MacedoniaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 10.42% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.585 0.58)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.384 0.38)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Ukraine

North Macedonia
18.6%
Draw
9.3%
Ukraine
72.1%
86
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
2-1
N. Macedonia
Yarmolenko (29'), Yaremchuk (34')
Shaparenko (43')
Alioski (57')
Velkovski (59'), Avramovski (83')
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
N. Macedonia
0-2
Ukraine

Brdarovski (45'), Zhuta (58')
Seleznyov (59' pen.), Kravets (87')
Khacheridi (9'), Sydorchuk (36')
Oct 12, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
1-0
N. Macedonia
Sydorchuk (45')
Fedeckyj (42'), Sydorchuk (45'), Rotan (72'), Budkivsky (86')

Jahovic (30'), Damcevski (39'), Trajkovski (59'), Abdurahimi (63'), Velkoski (93')
rhs 2.0
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