Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadion Partizana

Partizan
0 - 1
Lugano

(Lugano win 3-2 on aggregate)

Ibrahim (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zanotti (74')
Bislimi (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Partizan and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partizan

Last Game: Partizan 0-3 Dynamo Kiev
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Champions League

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 3-1 Servette
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Partizan	Draw	Lugano
42.72% ( -0.11)	23.18% ( 0.04)	34.1% ( 0.07)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Partizan	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 34.1%