

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 31.92% | 24.55% | 43.53% |
| Both teams to score 58.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% | 67% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% | 26.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.98% | 62.01% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% | 20.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.84% | 53.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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