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Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo
Man City
2 - 0
Chelsea
Mahrez (53'), Alvarez (58')
Grealish (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Koulibaly (18'), Chalobah (52'), Azpilicueta (89')
The Match
Match Report
Riyad Mahrez and Julian Alvarez are both on target to help Manchester City beat Chelsea 2-0 and progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Chelsea.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Chelsea.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Chelsea.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.46%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
52.51% (-0.285 -0.29) 20.72% (0.02 0.02) 26.77% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 68.66% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.62% (0.134 0.13)29.38% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.56% (0.16399999999999 0.16)50.44% (-0.166 -0.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)11.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31% (-0.073 -0.07)36.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.23999999999999 0.24)22.29% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.359 0.36)55.75% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 52.51%
    Chelsea 26.77%
    Draw 20.72%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.58% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.43% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
77.1%
Chelsea
22.9%
231
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Chelsea
0-1
Man City

Alonso (77'), Christensen (78'), Rudiger (84')
Jesus (53')
Laporte (65'), Dias (90+6')
May 29, 2021 8pm
May 8, 2021 5.30pm
Man City
1-2
Chelsea
Sterling (44')
Sterling (12'), Jesus (90')
Ziyech (63'), Alonso (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
1-0
Man City
Ziyech (55')
James (34'), Azpilicueta (90')

Fernandinho (63'), Laporte (90+2'), Dias (90+5')
Build-up
Manchester City's Kyle Walker receives medical attention on October 2, 2022
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Chelsea
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Chelsea.
Nov 6, 20:56
Joao Cancelo celebrates scoring for Manchester City on October 8, 2022
How Manchester City could line up against Chelsea
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Chelsea.
Nov 7, 09:28
Chelsea defender Ben Chilwell after sustaining hamstring injury against Dinamo Zagreb on November 2, 2022.
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Manchester City.
Nov 7, 09:35
Denis Zakaria celebrates with his Chelsea teammates against Dinamo Zagreb on November 2, 2022.
How Chelsea could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.
Nov 7, 09:35
Omari Hutchinson in action for Arsenal's Under-23s on January 11, 2022
Chelsea 'block Omari Hutchinson Jamaica call-up ahead of Manchester City tie'
Chelsea reportedly tell Omari Hutchinson not to join up with the Jamaica squad ahead of their EFL Cup third-round tie with Manchester City on Wednesday night.
Nov 7, 18:28
Erling Braut Haaland during Manchester City training on October 10, 2022
Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland 'still not perfect', doubtful for Chelsea clash
Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola reveals that Erling Braut Haaland is 'still not perfect' and will be assessed before Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash against Chelsea.
Nov 8, 13:26
Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion on October 29, 2022.
Graham Potter hints at chance for Chelsea youngsters against Manchester City
Head coach Graham Potter hints that Chelsea youngsters Lewis Hall and Omari Hutchinson could feature against Manchester City in the EFL Cup.
Nov 8, 15:06
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City36284493316288
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361871170502061
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea361110153642-643
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3766253269-3724

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