Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
