Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.