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World Cup

Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Brazil national football team

Ecuador
0 - 0
Brazil

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Ecuador and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Carlo Ancelotti's first game in charge against Ecuador in World Cup qualifying on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Brazil

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Brazil
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Brazil has a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Brazil win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result
EcuadorDrawBrazil
49.85% (-0.828 -0.83)26.02% (0.38 0.38)24.13% (0.448 0.45)
Both teams to score 47.98% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-1.046 -1.05)55.34% (1.047 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.865 -0.86)76.55% (0.86800000000001 0.87)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.792 -0.79)22.24% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-1.204 -1.2)55.68% (1.205 1.21)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.168 -0.17)38.29% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (-0.162 -0.16)75.05% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 49.85%
    Brazil 24.13%
    Draw 26.02%
EcuadorDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Brazil

Ecuador
28.3%
Draw
20.0%
Brazil
51.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-0
Ecuador
Rodrygo (30')
Moura (78')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2022 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-1
Brazil
Torres (75')
Valencia (70'), Caicedo (78')
Dominguez (15')
Casemiro (6')
Emerson (1'), Becker (31'), Raphinha (42'), Militao (45+2')
Emerson (20')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
1-1
Ecuador
Militao (37')
Mena (53')
Estupinan (83')
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Jun 5, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
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Ecuador
Fred (36')
Preciado (26'), Valencia (54'), Dominguez (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2017 1.45am
Group Stage
Brazil
2-0
Ecuador
Paulinho (69'), Coutinho (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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