World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Jun 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curacao
4 - 0
St Lucia

(Curacao win 5-4 on aggregate)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Curacao and Saint Lucia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Saint Lucia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Curacao 4-1 St Lucia
Monday, November 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Curacao win with a probability of 80.16%. A draw has a probability of 12.6% and a win for Saint Lucia has a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Saint Lucia win it is 1-2 (2.24%).

Result
Curacao	Draw	Saint Lucia
80.16% ( 1.33)	12.62% ( -0.64)	7.22% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.11% (

0.57)

29.88% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.94% (

0.68)

51.05% (

-0.68)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.24% (

0.35)

5.75% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.82% (

22.17% (

-1.01)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52% (

-1.28)

46.47% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

-1)

82.08% (

Score Analysis

Curacao 80.15%

Saint Lucia 7.22%

Draw 12.62%

Curacao	Draw	Saint Lucia
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.3) 5-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.18) 6-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 4.38% Total : 80.15%	1-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.62%	1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.93% Total : 7.22%