Saint Lucia national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Kirani James National Stadium
Curacao national football team

St Lucia
2 - 1
Curacao

Jude-Boyd (24'), Elva (55')
Doxilly (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brenet (63')
Gaari (29'), Bacuna (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Curacao

All competitions
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawCuracao
40.22% (0.093000000000004 0.09)25.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.86% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.14% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)50.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (0.030999999999999 0.03)72.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.064999999999998 0.06)24.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.08% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)28.21% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)63.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 40.22%
    Curacao 33.86%
    Draw 25.92%
Saint LuciaDrawCuracao
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.86%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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