Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.