Nacional
2 - 3
Velez Sarsfield
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janson (45'), de los Santos (60'), Perrone (90+4')
Garayalde (33'), de los Santos (51'), Sonora (82'), Bouzat (82'), Perrone (84')
Garayalde (33'), de los Santos (51'), Sonora (82'), Bouzat (82'), Perrone (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
We said: Nacional 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
A draw in this one would be of no good to either side, so we expect both teams to go in search of all three points. That said, we are also backing the home team to narrowly edge out their visitors and emerge triumphant come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.5% ( 0) | 27.98% ( -0.01) | 36.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
