Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.