Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.