Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.