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World Cup

Comoros national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Mali national football team

Comoros
0 - 3
Mali


Boura (65'), M'Dahoma (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dorgeles (20'), Doumbia (55', 63')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Comoros and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 6-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
ComorosDrawMali
18.78%27.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)53.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)65.29% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)84.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)59.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 18.78%
    Mali 53.54%
    Draw 27.66%
ComorosDrawMali
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.78%
0-0 @ 12.39%
1-1 @ 12.02%
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 17.22%
0-2 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 53.54%

How you voted: Comoros vs Mali

Comoros
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Mali
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
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