Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
May 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade du Plateau

Yunnan Yukun
3 - 2
Shandong

Henrique (57'), Ionita (68'), Kit Tsui (74')
Ionita (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wenneng (11'), Zeca (45+1')
Zhao (38')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Yunnan Yukun and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yunnan Yukun

All competitions
Last Game: Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Yunnan Yukun
Thursday, May 1 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 1-1 Qingdao Hainiu
Thursday, May 1 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yunnan Yukun would win this match.

Result
Yunnan YukunDrawShandong Taishan
51.71% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)22.98% (0.073 0.07)25.31% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 58.76% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (0.038000000000004 0.04)41.69% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91% (0.037999999999997 0.04)64.09% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Yunnan Yukun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-0.154 -0.15)16.21% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-0.28 -0.28)45.7% (0.283 0.28)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.33799999999999 0.34)29.87% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.406 0.41)65.97% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Yunnan Yukun 51.71%
    Shandong Taishan 25.31%
    Draw 22.98%
Yunnan YukunDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 25.31%