Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.