Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shijiazhuang Ever Bright would win this match.
