Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Qingdao Hainiu	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
36.3% ( -0.4)	24.97% ( 0.18)	38.73% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

-0.87)

45.55% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

-0.84)

67.88% (

0.84)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-0.62)

24.6% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

-0.88)

59.1% (

0.88)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.28)

23.31% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-0.4)

57.25% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Qingdao Hainiu 36.3%

Wuhan Three Towns 38.73%

Draw 24.97%

Qingdao Hainiu	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.3%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.73%