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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
41.39% | 27.86% | 30.75% |
Both teams to score 47.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% | 58.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% | 79.09% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% | 27.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% | 63.42% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.42% | 34.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.7% | 71.3% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 45 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 98 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 71 | 38 | 33 | 88 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 79 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 83 | 55 | 28 | 74 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
6 | Millwall | 45 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 68 |
7 | Sunderland | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 65 | 55 | 10 | 66 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 63 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 62 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 60 |
14 | Hull City | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 57 |
15 | Bristol City | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 56 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 50 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 49 |
R | Reading | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 47 | 72 | -25 | 41 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 41 |
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