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Midtjylland1 - 0UE Santa Coloma
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Randers | 6 | 3.00 | Bany | 
| 2 | Brondby | 5 | 2.50 | Yeboah | 
| 3 | Copenhagen | 5 | 2.50 | Oskarsson | 
| 4 | Nordsjaelland | 5 | 2.50 | Harder | 
| 5 | Viborg | 4 | 2.00 | Vester | 
| 6 | Aarhus | 3 | 1.50 | Bech | 
| 7 | Midtjylland | 3 | 1.50 | Sorensen | 
| 8 | Vejle | 3 | 1.50 | Onugkha | 
| 9 | AaB | 2 | 1.00 | Hojholt | 
| 10 | Silkeborg | 2 | 1.00 | Mattsson | 
| 11 | Lyngby Boldklub | 1 | 0.50 | Gytkjaer | 
| 12 | SonderjyskE | 1 | 0.50 | Sommer | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 74.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a UE Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | UE Santa Coloma | 
| 74.84% (  -0.65) | 14.86% (  0.27) | 10.3% (  0.38) | 
| Both teams to score 55.9% (  0.5) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.8% (  -0.11) | 30.2% (  0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.57% (  -0.13) | 51.43% (  0.14) | 
| FC Midtjylland Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.2% (  -0.14) | 6.8% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.93% (  -0.4) | 25.07% (  0.4) | 
| UE Santa Coloma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.97% (  0.63) | 40.03% (  -0.63) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% (  0.57) | 76.68% (  -0.57) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | UE Santa Coloma | 
| 2-0 @ 9.83% (  -0.1) 2-1 @ 9% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 8.81% (  -0.16) 3-1 @ 8.07% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.32% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.92% (  -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.42% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.69% (  0.06) 5-0 @ 3.19% (  -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.92% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.48% (  0.02) 6-0 @ 1.43% (  -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 1.31% (  -0.03) Other @ 4.1% Total : 74.84% | 1-1 @ 6.7% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 4.12% (  0.1) 0-0 @ 2.72% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% (  0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.86% | 1-2 @ 3.07% (  0.1) 0-1 @ 2.49% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 1.26% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 1.14% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 0.94% (  0.05) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.3% | 
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