Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadi Nacional
Midtjylland

UE Santa Coloma
0 - 3
Midtjylland


Mohedano (70'), Garcia (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Franculino (12'), Diao (28'), Simsir (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between UE Santa Coloma and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-2 UE Santa Coloma (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 3.30pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Midtjylland
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a UE Santa Coloma win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
UE Santa ColomaDrawFC Midtjylland
15% (-10.121 -10.12)19.14% (-5.338 -5.34)65.86% (15.459 15.46)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.895 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (9.407 9.41)39.02% (-9.407 -9.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (9.219 9.22)61.35% (-9.219 -9.22)
UE Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-5.095 -5.1)38.73% (5.093 5.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-5.184 -5.18)75.47% (5.185 5.19)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (8.177 8.18)11.05% (-8.178 -8.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (15.537 15.54)35.4% (-15.538 -15.54)
Score Analysis
    UE Santa Coloma 15%
    FC Midtjylland 65.86%
    Draw 19.14%
UE Santa ColomaDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 4.24% (-2.088 -2.09)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-2.987 -2.99)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-1.913 -1.91)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.958 -0.96)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 15%
1-1 @ 8.94% (-2.676 -2.68)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-2.188 -2.19)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.14%
0-2 @ 10.38% (1.589 1.59)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-1.231 -1.23)
0-3 @ 7.62% (2.791 2.79)
1-3 @ 7.23% (1.966 1.97)
0-4 @ 4.2% (2.206 2.21)
1-4 @ 3.98% (1.811 1.81)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.562 0.56)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.706 0.71)
0-5 @ 1.85% (1.192 1.19)
1-5 @ 1.75% (1.039 1.04)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 65.86%

How you voted: UE Santa Coloma vs Midtjylland

UE Santa Coloma
8.7%
Draw
15.2%
FC Midtjylland
76.1%
46
rhs 2.0


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