MX23RW : Thursday, May 1 00:05:09| >> :120:9767:9767:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Camp de Futbol Municipal d'Encamp
Ballkani

UE Santa Coloma
1 - 2
KF Ballkani

El Ghzaoui Darir (22')
El Ghzaoui Darir (81'), Da Cunha Costa Gomes (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Emerllahu (42' pen.), Karrica (90')
Thaci (28'), Smajli (61'), Ismajlgeci (90+3'), Kolici (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between UE Santa Coloma and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Breidablik 4-1 UE Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 14 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: UE Santa Coloma 0-1 KF Ballkani

UE Santa Coloma have never won a European qualifying match and have struggled to even find the net. In contrast, Ballkani have progressed past this stage before and have the necessary experience to navigate this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest UE Santa Coloma win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
UE Santa ColomaDrawKF Ballkani
27.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.75% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 46.76% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.124 -0.12)51.97% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.107 -0.11)73.71% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
UE Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)33.6% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.141 -0.14)70.25% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.21% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    UE Santa Coloma 27.49%
    KF Ballkani 46.76%
    Draw 25.74%
UE Santa ColomaDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.76%

How you voted: UE Santa Coloma vs KF Ballkani

UE Santa Coloma
30.2%
Draw
11.6%
KF Ballkani
58.1%
43
rhs 2.0
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