World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2024 at 1.45am UK

Estadio Nacional de Brasilia

Brazil
4 - 0
Peru

Raphinha (38' pen., 38' pen., 54' pen., 54' pen.), Pereira (71', 71'), Henrique (74', 74')
Vanderson (83'), Vanderson (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reyna (8'), Reyna (8'), Gallese (45'), Gallese (45'), Castillo (48'), Castillo (48'), Zambrano (55'), Zambrano (55'), Cartagena (68'), Cartagena (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifier at home to Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Peru
73.62% ( -0.45)	17.92% ( 0.19)	8.46% ( 0.25)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Brazil	Draw	Peru
2-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 73.6%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.92%	0-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.25% Total : 8.46%