Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Uruguay national football team

Bolivia
0 - 0
Uruguay


Medina (61')
FT

Ugarte (42'), Bentancur (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Bolivia and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129
All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 35.57%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BoliviaDrawUruguay
35.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)29.67% (-0.132 -0.13)34.75% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 43.01% (0.35100000000001 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94% (0.42 0.42)64.05% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.77% (0.297 0.3)83.22% (-0.30300000000001 -0.3)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (0.248 0.25)34.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (0.267 0.27)70.82% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (0.286 0.29)34.69% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (0.303 0.3)71.41% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 35.57%
    Uruguay 34.75%
    Draw 29.66%
BoliviaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Uruguay

Bolivia
18.9%
Draw
15.3%
Uruguay
65.8%
111
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Uruguay
5-0
Bolivia
Pellistri (8'), Nunez (21'), Araujo (77'), Valverde (81'), Bentancur (89')

Rocha (65')
Nov 21, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
3-0
Bolivia
Nunez (15', 71')
Villamil (39' og.)
Villamil (59'), Vaca (64')
Nov 16, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
3-0
Uruguay
Carlos Arce (29', 79'), Moreno (45')
Quinteros (21')
Algaranaz (74')

Gonzalez (60')
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-2
Bolivia
De Arrascaeta (15', 65' pen.), Valverde (31'), Alvarez (47')
Moreno (60', 79')
Jun 24, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
0-2
Uruguay

Chura (16'), Vaca (47'), Sanchez (81')
Lampe (40' og.), Cavani (79')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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