Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
1 - 4
Slutsk

Bylinkin (81' og.)
Lebedev (60'), Kingu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sychev (27'), Pushnyakov (57'), Omirtayev (66', 76')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Slutsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-3 Naftan
Sunday, June 30 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 1-0 FC Minsk
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawSlutsk
33.55% (-0.539 -0.54)26.55% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)39.89% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.245 0.24)52.81% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.208 0.21)74.43% (-0.203 -0.2)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.22 -0.22)29.71% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-0.274 -0.27)65.77% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Slutsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.453 0.45)25.97% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (0.605 0.61)60.99% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 33.55%
    Slutsk 39.89%
    Draw 26.54%
NaftanDrawSlutsk
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.89%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 10am
Gameweek 12
Naftan
2-1
Slutsk
Pukhov (38'), Sannikov (51')
Sidor (3')
Girs (6')
Obrazov (31')
Jun 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Slutsk
3-1
Naftan
Pushnyakov (14'), Glebko (20'), Achapovskiy (90')
Girs (54')
Zarobekov (18')
Bruy (59')