Annan Athletic
Scottish League One Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Galabank
Elgin City

Annan
1 - 2
Elgin

Muir (1')
Smith (38'), Dixon (90+1'), Carmichael (90+1'), Gibson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sargent (22'), McDonald (59')
McDonald (77'), Cameron (82'), Hester (90+5'), Hester (90+5')
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Annan Athletic and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Elgin 2-4 Annan
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Elgin 2-4 Annan
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Elgin City in this match.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawElgin City
34.89% (-0.17 -0.17)25.03% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)40.08% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.17899999999999 0.18)46.02% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.168 0.17)68.32% (-0.167 -0.17)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.61% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.18599999999999 0.19)22.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (0.273 0.27)56.55% (-0.272 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 34.89%
    Elgin City 40.08%
    Draw 25.03%
Annan AthleticDrawElgin City
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.08%

Head to Head
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Elgin
2-4
Annan
Sargent (22'), Murray (45+1')
Golding (69')
Goss (17'), Kilsby (23'), Muir (26', 36')
Gibson (74'), Gibson (74')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Annan
4-1
Elgin
Kilsby (41'), Goss (45+1' pen., 68' pen.), Gibson (55')
Hester (33')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Elgin
1-1
Annan
Hester (19')
Goss (62')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Annan
1-3
Elgin
Lyon (74')
Findlay (26'), Cameron (42', 88')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Elgin
5-1
Annan
Hester (7', 53', 84', 85'), Lawrence (40')
Muir (80')