Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Bannon (38'), Wilson (52')
Strapp (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yates (58')
Meechan (65'), Jamieson (72'), Yates (73'), Tomlinson (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Airdrieonians and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawStenhousemuir
37.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)25.71%36.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (0.012 0.01)48.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (0.012 0.01)70.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.25% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.018999999999998 0.02)60% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82%61.18% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 37.93%
    Stenhousemuir 36.36%
    Draw 25.71%
AirdrieoniansDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Airdrieonians
Aitken (89' pen.)
Buchanan (20'), Aitken (73')
McGrattan (21', 29'), Mochrie (51')
Wilson (52'), Strapp (88')
Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm
Group Stage
Stenhousemuir
0-2
Airdrieonians

Little (87')
McKay (47'), Thomson (87')
Apr 13, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 33
Airdrieonians
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Robertson (85')
McGuigan (5')
Munro (70')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stenhousemuir
1-0
Airdrieonians
Halleran (74')
Donaldson (61')

Hutton (56'), Carrick (64')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 11
Airdrieonians
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Crighton (90')
McGuigan (86')
Paton (76'), Dickson (80'), Neill (85')
rhs 2.0
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