Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Malawi2 - 2Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 0-0 South Africa (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 16 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 16 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
We said: Malawi 0-1 Guinea
While Malawi and Guinea have nothing at stake here, we anticipate an action-packed affair at the Bingu National Stadium nonetheless. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we see Guinea coming out on top in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Guinea |
48.61% ( -0.16) | 27% ( 0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
