Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.