Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Foolad had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Foolad win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.