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World Cup

Saint Lucia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2025 at 1am UK
 
Barbados national football team

St Lucia
2 - 1
Barbados

Elva (42' pen., 90')
(72'), (72'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Richards (12')
Aman (17'), (62'), (63'), (90+5'), (90+5'), Hinkson (90+2'), Morris (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Saint Lucia and Barbados, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Curacao 4-1 St Lucia
Monday, November 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Curacao vs. St Lucia
Saturday, June 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Barbados

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Dominica 0-0 Barbados
Sunday, May 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Barbados vs. Aruba
Wednesday, June 4 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Barbados has a probability of 36.02% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.91%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Barbados win is 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.65%).

Result
Saint LuciaDrawBarbados
41.36% (-1.708 -1.71)22.62% (-0.383 -0.38)36.02% (2.088 2.09)
Both teams to score 66.64% (2.037 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (2.437 2.44)34.08% (-2.44 -2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.04% (2.708 2.71)55.96% (-2.711 -2.71)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.303 0.3)17.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (0.533 0.53)47.44% (-0.535 -0.54)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (2.171 2.17)19.54% (-2.175 -2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (3.428 3.43)51.44% (-3.431 -3.43)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 41.36%
    Barbados 36.02%
    Draw 22.62%
Saint LuciaDrawBarbados
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.91% (-0.707 -0.71)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.565 -0.57)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.209 0.21)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.359 0.36)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.35 0.35)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.181 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.25 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.233 0.23)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.133 0.13)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.02%