Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Syria had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.