Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Norway had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.