Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Serbia in this match.